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Who Will Win The Melbourne Cup?

November 5th 2006 07:07
In my previous blog I promised to help my readers put themselves in the running to win tens of thousands of dollars. At current I'm still going through the process of narrowing down the contenders and the pretenders. That post will appear in around twenty four hours.

However, some people I understand will simply want to pick the winner of the Cup for bragging rights in the workplace or at home. So this post will provide you with the opportunity to tell the rest of the world who will win and why.

First Tuesday
First Tuesday of November



Below is a list of the runners and my earliest assessments of their chances in the Great Race.

1) Yeats: Yikes!! This guy comes to Oz with a huge reputation but all reports have him as a bit of a cream puff, and once he gets into the parade ring (pre race) he wont know what has hit him. All the noise of 100,000 rowdy Melbournians will have Yeats running for cover.
2) Delta Blues: You'll be singing the blues as this one travels three wide throughout.
3) Railings: Don't do it!! You worked for that money.
4) Tawqeet: I don't see why this horse can't make it three wins on the trot.
5) Geordieland: Will be doing his best work in the home straight.

6) Headturner: I've no doubt you will be turning pale by the 600m mark. No hope.
7) Short Pause: Take a deep breath. Repeat after me "I will not knowingly donate money to the TAB."
8) Activation: He's brave but at the 400m he'll want to be somewhere else.
9) Land 'N Stars: Maybe next time.
10) Mahtoum : Can't win. Midfield.
11) On A Jeune: A marathon runner whose dad won it in '94. A real chance.
12) Pop Rock: Wont surprise many if this one hits the line first.
13) Zipping: A plugger. His best just isn't good enough though.
14) Dizelle: Don't panic when she is sitting back at the rear of the field early on. She'll come into the race when it counts. Each way chance.
15) Ice Chariot: Not!!!
16) Kerry O'Reilly: One of the bolters. Will raise a few eyebrows.
17) Zabeat: Should've been called Dead-Beat instead.
18) Art Success: Nice name but you don't win the Cup by painting pictures.
19) Demerger: I don't think so.
20) Glistening: Look for it to make up ground late. Has a Cup winning jockey.
21) Mandela: Just like his namesake will fight hard and strong.
22) Dolphin Jo: It might finish in the first ten. But you can't place bets for that result.
23) Maybe Better: One of the true winning hopes. A bit of luck and maybe . . .
24) Efficient: Great last start win. Will get bullied by the older horsies though.
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Comments
8 Comments. [ Add A Comment ]

Comment by theadora

November 6th 2006 00:45
enjoyed reading...at present we have some differences of opinion:

on a jeune - not on my summing
tawqeet - not sure about him doubling up

this only on minimal summing.

Comment by wooder

November 6th 2006 02:34
Some very good reading, but i believe some of your views are mis-guided.
I believe that EFFICIENT will be very efficient in that it will win by 3 and a1/2 lengths.

I look forward to your updated summations and some of your post race recants.

Comment by Les

November 6th 2006 04:06
Thanks for the feedback 'wooder'. After closer investigation I still feel that despite the very real possibility that Efficient will get a trail into the straight from Tawqeet, I just don't think the three year old will sustain the way Tawqeet and Pop Rock will.

Comment by Les

November 6th 2006 04:10
For Theodora, I think you write off On A Jeune at your own peril. He was built for this. I read earlier that you picked 1st, 3rd and 4th last year. That means you paid no attention to On A Jeune in 2005, it takes a brave punter to ignore the same horse that hurt you last time.

Comment by StephenP

November 7th 2006 07:38
Gotta love the Asians - and thanks to NSWTAB for the lazy tenner I threw on Delta Blues!!!

StepheNP

Comment by Les

November 7th 2006 08:48
Well done mate. The race was tailored for Delta Blues and I have to admit I underestimated the jockey as you can see in my post. Your shout!

Comment by StephenP

November 7th 2006 09:12
I would love to shout - but $180 aint gunna go that far, my friend!!

I have no idea about hore racing, but something just told me to stick with the Japanese - gotta trust that intuition more often!


Comment by Les

November 7th 2006 10:33
Honesty is a virtue.

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